Tuesday, May 21, 2013

Special Weather Statement

at 11:37 AM 0 Great Comments


SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
1042 AM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013

TNZ005>011-022>034-056>066-075-077>080-093>095-220000-
STEWART-MONTGOMERY-ROBERTSON-SUMNER-MACON-CLAY-PICKETT-BENTON-
HOUSTON-HUMPHREYS-DICKSON-CHEATHAM-DAVIDSON-WILSON-TROUSDALE-
SMITH-JACKSON-PUTNAM-OVERTON-FENTRESS-PERRY-HICKMAN-LEWIS-
WILLIAMSON-MAURY-MARSHALL-RUTHERFORD-CANNON-DE KALB-WHITE-
CUMBERLAND-BEDFORD-COFFEE-WARREN-GRUNDY-VAN BUREN-WAYNE-LAWRENCE-
GILES-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DOVER...CLARKSVILLE...SPRINGFIELD...
GALLATIN...LAFAYETTE...CELINA...BYRDSTOWN...CAMDEN...ERIN...
WAVERLY...DICKSON...ASHLAND CITY...NASHVILLE...LEBANON...
MOUNT JULIET...HARTSVILLE...CARTHAGE...GAINESBORO...COOKEVILLE...
LIVINGSTON...JAMESTOWN...LOBELVILLE...CENTERVILLE...HOHENWALD...
FRANKLIN...BRENTWOOD...COLUMBIA...LEWISBURG...MURFREESBORO...
WOODBURY...SMITHVILLE...SPARTA...CROSSVILLE...SHELBYVILLE...
TULLAHOMA...MANCHESTER...MCMINNVILLE...ALTAMONT...SPENCER...
WAYNESBORO...LAWRENCEBURG...PULASKI
1042 AM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013

...TORRENTIAL RAIN AND STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE...

AREAS OF THUNDERSTORMS HAVE ALREADY DEVELOPED ACROSS THE MID
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AREA AND THE SOUTHERN PLAINS.

ONE OF THESE
THUNDERSTORM COMPLEXES WILL MOVE INTO MIDDLE TENNESSEE FROM LATE
MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS.

THE MAIN THREATS WITH THESE
STORMS WILL BE TORRENTIAL RAINFALL AND WIND GUSTS TO 45MPH.

SCATTERED STORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...AND AN ISOLATED SEVERE STORM OR TWO CANNOT BE RULED OUT.

HOWEVER...THE BEST CHANCE FOR STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL BE
MAINLY TOWARDS DAWN WEDNESDAY AS SEVERE STORMS DEVELOP OVER THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON AND MARCH EASTWARD OVERNIGHT. A
LINE OF STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS IS EXPECTED TO APPROACH MIDDLE
TENNESSEE VERY LATE TONIGHT INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS ON
WEDNESDAY...WITH STRONG WINDS AND TORRENTIAL RAINFALL BEING THE
MAIN THREATS.

ISOLATED LARGE HAIL CANNOT BE RULED OUT...AND AT
THIS TIME...A TORNADO THREAT LOOKS VERY LOW.

IT SHOULD BE
EMPHASIZED THAT ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT AFFECT MIDDLE TENNESSEE
TODAY...TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY WILL NOT NEARLY BE AS SIGNIFICANT AS
WHAT OCCURRED YESTERDAY IN OKLAHOMA.

THE BEST CHANCE FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE BETWEEN ROUGHLY 3AM AND
8AM NEAR THE TENNESSEE RIVER...WITH STORMS WEAKENING AS THEY MOVE
FURTHER EAST.

A THREAT FOR STRONG STORMS WILL STILL EXIST
THROUGHOUT THE DAY WEDNESDAY BEFORE THE STORM SYSTEM PUSHES
THROUGH THE REGION.

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Sunday, May 19, 2013

Fog Overnight and Monday Morning

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Expect fog to develop overnight and linger Monday after daybreak. The high Monday around 86° with plenty of sunshine.  We'll take it.

More than 2" of rain fell south of Cookeville around the Spencer,  Cagle,  Dunlap,  and Pikeville areas.  The rain fell quite hard in a short amount of time.  It wasn't much fun driving through that area this afternoon. I witnessed many vehicles pulled to the side of the road due to the incredibly heavy rain causing visibility to fall to near zero.

I received just 02/100ths (.02) of an inch.

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Flash Flood Warning...

at 11:30 AM 0 Great Comments 
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
1128 AM CDT SUN MAY 19 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NASHVILLE HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  CUMBERLAND COUNTY IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE...
  EAST CENTRAL PUTNAM COUNTY IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE...
  SOUTHEASTERN OVERTON COUNTY IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE...
  SOUTHWESTERN FENTRESS COUNTY IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE...

* UNTIL 230 PM CDT

* AT 1124 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
  SLOW MOVING THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE
  WARNED AREA. LOCALIZED AMOUNTS OF TWO TO THREE INCHES HAVE ALREADY
  FALLEN NEAR CROSSVILLE...CRAB ORCHARD...AND MONTEREY.

* RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING TO
  OCCUR. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
  CROSSVILLE...FAIRFIELD GLADE AND MONTEREY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS 
SAFELY.

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Special Weather Statement

at 11:11 AM 0 Great Comments

Mainly for areas east of Cookeville...

...Significant Weather Advisory For Cumberland...Fentress...Overton And Putnam Counties...

At 1055 Am Cdt...

National Weather Service Meteorologists Were Tracking A Strong Thunderstorms Near Crossville And Monterey...
Moving East At 35 Mph.

People In And Around Slate Springs...Crossville...Fairfield Glade And Crab Orchard Should Monitor The Weather Situation Closely.

Listen For Possible Warnings And Be Prepared To Take Appropriate Action Should Severe Weather Threaten.

Small Hail...And Winds 30 To 40 Mph Are Expected With These Storms.

Additionally...Very Heavy Rain Will Leave Water Standing On Roadways As Well As Possibly Lead To Minor Flooding.

Saturday, May 18, 2013

Saturday Evening Update

at 9:45 PM 0 Great Comments
Fairly quiet over most of the middle TN region. There is a batch of rain and thunderstorms southeast of the Cookeville area along with a pop-up shower and thunderstorm dotting the landscape from just east of Nashville down through Warren County. These cells are moving east southeast and will affect a few people.

Overnight expect a cloudy night with fog developing after midnight and a 20% chance of a shower and thunderstorm. We'll only fall about 4 more degrees to around 63° by daybreak.

On Sunday, expect a partly cloudy day with a 30% chance of an afternoon thunderstorm.

We reached 81° today as the storms didn't materialize and we did get glimpses of the sun in the afternoon. A warming trend is developing and you can expect highs to reach the lower 80's Sunday, mid 80's on Monday and upper 80's by Tuesday. We'll moderate back to the mid 80's on Wednesday, near 80 on Thursday and upper 70's by Friday. Early indications for Memorial Day weekend show comfortable temps with highs in the 70's.

*Latest Local Forecast*
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Friday, May 17, 2013

Weekend Forecast

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Scattered rainfall amounts on Friday as some areas received no rain but others received quite a drenching. Amounts range from 1.29" just west of Murfreesboro to around .20" for many other locations. Here in Cookeville at my station, we recorded just .26". The rain was light and lingered for much of the day. The severe weather, thankfully,  never developed.

I'm not confident in seeing any severe weather the rest of the weekend, however, there is still the potential for a few strong thunderstorms to develop. With plenty of moisture in the atmosphere, the other ingredients are in place for the development of a few strong thunderstorms. The weekend will not, by any means, be a complete washout. We are most likely to have the garden variety afternoon thunderstorm activity develop similar to a summer pattern. The coolest day over the next 7-10 days was today followed by tomorrow.

Friday's high was just 72.2° early (9:46 am) and I expect we'll be in the upper 70's on Saturday. For Sunday we are back in the 80's and stay there all week. Our best shot at topping 90° comes on Monday and Tuesday with Tuesday being most likely. We'll back down to highs near 80° toward the end of next week.



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Good Rain Chances Through Sunday

at 7:08 AM 0 Great Comments

Rain and thunderstorms are likely over the next few days as a big area of precipitation from an upper level system is moving in from the southwest. I don't think each day will be a complete (all day) washout but you'll need to be aware of the good possibility of rainfall each day. This is a big weekend for graduation festivities for many schools in the area.

A few of these storms could approach severe levels late this afternoon and evening across middle TN. Strong to severe storms cannot be ruled out for Saturday and Sunday but I do think those strong storms will be isolated in nature.

We'll 'cool' off a few degrees to the upper 70's but do expect a return to the 80's by Sunday or Monday at the latest.

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Thursday, May 16, 2013

Second Consecutive 85° Daytime High

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Who would have thought we'd have frost on Monday morning and then hit 85° for highs on both Wednesday and Thursday? What a quick turnaround. This is what I love about May..it 'may' get chilly but it won't stay around long.

We're seeing some activity this afternoon on radar but most of us will see no rain. Thunderstorm chances do ramp up on Friday to 60% and continue to be likely through all of Saturday. Highs will be only around 80° on Friday and Saturday warming to the mid 80's once again on Sunday.

The first of next week promises sunny skies and highs in the middle 80's. Welcome to summer!

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Wednesday, May 15, 2013

Hot Wednesday

at 7:17 AM 0 Great Comments
Hard to believe that it wasn't that many mornings ago (Monday) that we were dealing with frost. This morning we are 30° warmer than Monday morning and expect a high this afternoon of 85°. West southwest winds will be refreshing at 5 to 10 mph.

We'll include a slight rain chance for Thursday through next Tuesday as we'll be in a 'summer-like' pattern of pop-up thunderstorms. Not everyone will see rain though. Highs will be in the 80's and lows in the upper 50's to mid 60's.

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Tuesday, May 14, 2013

Very Warm Today and Wednesday

at 7:15 AM 0 Great Comments

After a morning low of 40° we'll run all the way up to 80° this afternoon under a sunny sky. Southwest winds from 5 to 15 mph with gusts to 20 mph.

For tonight it'll be mostly clear with a low of 57°.

On Wednesday, another warm day with a high of 84°.

Slight thunderstorm chances on Thursday, Friday, and Saturday.

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