Saturday Evening Update

Fairly quiet over most of the middle TN region. There is a batch of rain and thunderstorms southeast of the Cookeville area along with a pop-up shower and thunderstorm dotting the landscape from just east of Nashville down through Warren County. These cells are moving east southeast and will affect a few people.

Overnight expect a cloudy night with fog developing after midnight and a 20% chance of a shower and thunderstorm. We'll only fall about 4 more degrees to around 63° by daybreak.

On Sunday, expect a partly cloudy day with a 30% chance of an afternoon thunderstorm.

We reached 81° today as the storms didn't materialize and we did get glimpses of the sun in the afternoon. A warming trend is developing and you can expect highs to reach the lower 80's Sunday, mid 80's on Monday and upper 80's by Tuesday. We'll moderate back to the mid 80's on Wednesday, near 80 on Thursday and upper 70's by Friday. Early indications for Memorial Day weekend show comfortable temps with highs in the 70's.

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Weekend Forecast

Scattered rainfall amounts on Friday as some areas received no rain but others received quite a drenching. Amounts range from 1.29" just west of Murfreesboro to around .20" for many other locations. Here in Cookeville at my station, we recorded just .26". The rain was light and lingered for much of the day. The severe weather, thankfully,  never developed.

I'm not confident in seeing any severe weather the rest of the weekend, however, there is still the potential for a few strong thunderstorms to develop. With plenty of moisture in the atmosphere, the other ingredients are in place for the development of a few strong thunderstorms. The weekend will not, by any means, be a complete washout. We are most likely to have the garden variety afternoon thunderstorm activity develop similar to a summer pattern. The coolest day over the next 7-10 days was today followed by tomorrow.

Friday's high was just 72.2° early (9:46 am) and I expect we'll be in the upper 70's on Saturday. For Sunday we are back in the 80's and stay there all week. Our best shot at topping 90° comes on Monday and Tuesday with Tuesday being most likely. We'll back down to highs near 80° toward the end of next week.



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Good Rain Chances Through Sunday

Rain and thunderstorms are likely over the next few days as a big area of precipitation from an upper level system is moving in from the southwest. I don't think each day will be a complete (all day) washout but you'll need to be aware of the good possibility of rainfall each day. This is a big weekend for graduation festivities for many schools in the area.

A few of these storms could approach severe levels late this afternoon and evening across middle TN. Strong to severe storms cannot be ruled out for Saturday and Sunday but I do think those strong storms will be isolated in nature.

We'll 'cool' off a few degrees to the upper 70's but do expect a return to the 80's by Sunday or Monday at the latest.

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Second Consecutive 85° Daytime High

Who would have thought we'd have frost on Monday morning and then hit 85° for highs on both Wednesday and Thursday? What a quick turnaround. This is what I love about May..it 'may' get chilly but it won't stay around long.

We're seeing some activity this afternoon on radar but most of us will see no rain. Thunderstorm chances do ramp up on Friday to 60% and continue to be likely through all of Saturday. Highs will be only around 80° on Friday and Saturday warming to the mid 80's once again on Sunday.

The first of next week promises sunny skies and highs in the middle 80's. Welcome to summer!

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Hot Wednesday

Hard to believe that it wasn't that many mornings ago (Monday) that we were dealing with frost. This morning we are 30° warmer than Monday morning and expect a high this afternoon of 85°. West southwest winds will be refreshing at 5 to 10 mph.

We'll include a slight rain chance for Thursday through next Tuesday as we'll be in a 'summer-like' pattern of pop-up thunderstorms. Not everyone will see rain though. Highs will be in the 80's and lows in the upper 50's to mid 60's.

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Very Warm Today and Wednesday

After a morning low of 40° we'll run all the way up to 80° this afternoon under a sunny sky. Southwest winds from 5 to 15 mph with gusts to 20 mph.

For tonight it'll be mostly clear with a low of 57°.

On Wednesday, another warm day with a high of 84°.

Slight thunderstorm chances on Thursday, Friday, and Saturday.

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Cold Start To Monday

A significant frost in the Cookeville area this morning as lows bottomed out at 34.9° at 5:47 am which was about 10 minutes after sunrise.

Expect temperatures to rise quickly (already 44.8° at 7:11 am) this morning and we'll top out at 66° later this afternoon with 70+ temps to our west around the Nashville area.

The rest of the week promises a quick warm-up with a high in the upper 70's on Tuesday and mid 80's on Wednesday. A slight chance for thunderstorms on Thursday, Friday, and Saturday.

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Cold Overnight

Everything looks in order tonight for a significant frost event.

Temperatures are sitting at 40.2° just before midnight and I expect we'll drop another 6-8° by sunrise on Monday morning. If you've not covered your flowers or garden items like tomatoes, you still have a bit of time to do that.

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Sunny Sunday But Very Cold Temps Overnight

Happy Mother's Day to all you ladies whether you're a mom or want to be a mom!

We're waking this morning to sunny skies, a north-northwest wind, and chilly temperatures. Morning lows were around 40° and that occurred at 6 am, just after sunrise at 5:53 am. Temperatures will recover rapidly this morning but won't get above 61° this afternoon with winds from 5 to 15 mph during the daytime hours.

For tonight, temperatures fall rapidly after sunset and we're under a "Frost Advisory" from midnight through 8 am on Monday. Expect mid to upper 30's for much of middle TN but the Upper Cumberland region, including Cookeville, may see lows dip into the lower 30's. Frost is likely and may damage unprotected vegetation.

Today's record low was 37° in 1989
Tomorrow's record low was 35° in 1917

Looking into next week, we're expecting sunny, warm days and cool nights. Highs will range from 66° on Monday all the way to 83° by Wednesday. Rain is expected back in the picture for Thursday and Friday. A slight chance for showers during the weekend with warm temperatures.

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