Another Night In The 50's; Hot Days Ahead

Expect Friday morning lows by sunrise to be in the 56-58° range for many of us. This marks the 3rd night in a row that we'll drop to the 50's. I don't think we'll go all the way to 54° like this morning.

Normal high/low this time of year:
87°/64°

FRIDAY THROUGH WEEKEND
High temps:
85° - Friday
88° - Saturday
87° - Sunday
Only a 30% chance of rain on Sunday with plenty of sunshine on both Friday and Saturday. We'll possibly drop into the 50's for a 4th night in a row Friday evening, but I'm not 100% sold on that idea. Best thunderstorm chances are Sunday night, but it is only a 50/50 proposition at this point.

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Storms Brewing This Afternoon

SATURDAY AFTERNOON UPDATE:
There has been an increase in the rain and thunderstorm coverage across Middle Tennessee this afternoon. Expect slow moving thunderstorms with locally heavy downpours where the rain falls. The air is very moist and we lack any significant winds although that may change within strong thunderstorms themselves. The threat of any widespread severe thunderstorms is not expected.

REST OF THE WEEKEND:
Expect some leftover rain and thunderstorm activity this evening, but they should all dissipate after sunset. Sunday is expected to be much drier than today with warmer temperatures. The high should be around 85°.

NEXT WEEK:
At this point, Monday looks like a good chance for thunderstorm development. We'll keep an eye out for any possible strong to severe weather. After frontal passage, I expect things to dry out and settle down with cooler temps. Much of the week will be dry with a few cool nights mid-week and temps averaging below normal.

Interesting article about Fall weather news

Weather Warnings On The Go

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Another Chilly Night and Upcoming Weekend Forecast

Third Straight Night in The 50's
Are you liking the cool nights and warm days? 
We've had a large number of lows in the 50's this July with 9 nights thus far. Looks like #10 will happen this evening.

Thursday's Forecast
We'll start cool again with sunrise temps around 57-59° in and around Cookeville with afternoon highs 80-82° under a partly cloudy sky. A slight chance of rain showers overnight Thursday but I don't see it being a big rain event.

Friday Through The Weekend
Look for a rain/thundershower chance each day with highs in the low to mid 80's and lows in the low to mid 60's.

Next week promises a warm and sunny start with highs in the upper 80's and low in the mid to upper 60's.

NATIONAL HEATSTROKE PREVENTION DAY
Every 10 days an unattended child dies in a hot car. Let's stop these preventable tragedies. National Heatstroke Prevention Day is July 31. Since 1998, more than 620 kids have died from heatstroke when left unattended in a vehicle. More than half were simply forgotten; something that can happen to the most loving and caring parents when their routine is changed. Other deaths occurred when a child was intentionally left in a vehicle or climbing into a vehicle on their own and was unable to get out.

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More Accumulating Snow for Cookeville Area

Do you know how long we've been below freezing?
The answer is below, so keep reading!

BELOW ZERO THIS MORNING:
It's going to be another cold night for the area on Friday night. Currently, at 8:00 pm, we stand at 20°. Friday's high was 27.0° at 3:41 pm. It actually felt quite nice with the sunshine if you could find an area to shelter from the wind. We started out Friday morning at -1.1° at 6:19 am.

MUCH COLDER THAN ALASKA:
Thursday's high of 18° was nearly 30° BELOW NORMAL!
Juneau, Alaska was 47° for the high yesterday!

**WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY**

FRIDAY NIGHT/SATURDAY FORECAST:
Clouds will be on the increase and along with that we'll see the temps rise a few degrees toward daybreak. Snow chances will also be on the increase and we can't rule out a 1/2" to 1" accumulation locally in Cookeville with higher amounts in the highest elevations of the Plateau. Saturday's high should be around 37° with snow wrapping up around lunch time. Expect gusty winds to 25 mph.

VERY COLD SATURDAY NIGHT:
Cold on Saturday night with clear skies late and a low of 15°

SNOW POSSIBLE AGAIN SUNDAY NIGHT:
Sunshine and warmer on Sunday with a high of 46° but we will see winds become gusty around 20 mph. Snow redevelops on Sunday night with a low of 29°. I'm not excited about any accumulation so be prepared to go to school on Monday.

BRUTAL COLD RETURNS:
Monday will see temps barely rise to 32° with gusty north winds to 20 mph. This will usher in even colder air and we'll be back into the single digits once again on Monday night. Tuesday will be very cold with highs in the lower 20's and lows again in the single digits near 0°. We may even have to tweak those temps down a few more degrees as we get closer to the event.

Wednesday's high is only expected to be around 24° under a sunny sky.

Looking out ahead, we may actually 'warm' to the 40's next weekend with rain chances!

COLD JANUARY FACTS:
Do you think it's cold? You're not alone.
Check out these January stats!

Average Daily High
January Normal - 46.2°
January 2014 - 43.2°
January 2013 - 48.3°

Average Daily Low
January Normal - 25.8°
January 2014 - 19.6°
January 2013 - 30.3°

We have recorded 6 days with high temps less than 32°.
January 2013 - we recorded just 1 day.

January 2013 coldest temperature was 17°.
January 2014 has been colder than that 9 mornings.
January 2014 has seen 2 days in which the high was just 18°.

**NEARLY 100 HOURS BELOW FREEZING:**
We went below freezing on January 21st at 10:51 am. We won't top 32° until around 11 am tomorrow which is 96 straight hours.

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Severe Weather Possible on Saturday Night

A developing situation for Saturday as we may see some possible severe weather in the Cookeville and surrounding areas late Saturday night into the overnight hours on Sunday. Best chances at this point are midnight Saturday through around 6 am Sunday.

This is a developing system that we've watched the last several days.

I've posted several links below to statements issued by the National Weather Service as well as Severe Weather information that you should review sooner than later.

Winds will kick up on Saturday, but temperatures will be very warm. I think we'll have a shot at our record high of 71° set back in 1967. Temperatures in the 70's are rare this late in December.

Friday's high hit 63° for the second day in a row.

First graphic is the weekly planner for ALL of Middle Tennessee. After we get rid of the thunderstorm activity, we'll be more seasonal in temperatures on Monday, Tuesday, and Wednesday (Christmas Day).

*Special Weather Statement*

*Wind Advisory from Saturday morning through Sunday morning*

*Severe Weather Awareness Information*

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Weekend Rains With Thunderstorms

*Thursday's high was 63° in Cookeville.*
A little factoid about the high. It was the first time this month we were in the 60's. We've been in the 70's twice and in the 50's eight times. You have to go all the way back to November 22 (almost a month to find a high temperatures in the 60's).

Michael's personal weather station in BETA (testing)
The above link is a new way to view my weather station live. Wunderground is really doing some great, new things with their website. I hope you like how this looks.

WARM, BUT CLOUDY FRIDAY
We expect another warm day on Friday but expect an increasing chance for showers during the afternoon. Shower chances double for the evening and overnight hours.

YOUR RAIN-FILLED WEEKEND FORECAST:
Thunderstorm chances enter the picture on Saturday with highs near 70°. Thunderstorms continue Saturday nigh and into Sunday with highs reaching near 70° once again. I do expect the rain chances to wrap up on Sunday night with much cooler temperatures.

COLD CHRISTMAS WEEK:
Christmas week will be mainly sunny but chilly with highs in the 40's and lows in the 20's. On Christmas Day, expect a high of around 50°. Sorry kids, but no snow for Christmas this year in the Cookeville, TN area.

2014 is right around the corner!

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BIG WEATHER NEWS: Lots of Rain Between Now and Weekend

Not only are we looking at a significant rain event, but also may a possible winter weather event this coming weekend. As usual, the forecast could change concerning winter weather but confidence is very high for a significant amount of rain.

First a 7-day projection on rainfall. Note the location of the 6.6" x on the map.

Several links to pass on to you tonight:

A closer look at the heavy rain possible

Potential for flooding rains

This is an excellent time to review Flood Safety and please make a plan if you live or work in an area which is prone to possible flooding.

Special Weather Statement

In summary, expect a major weather event with rain starting on Thursday including possible thunderstorms. The rain will continue into Thursday night, Friday, and Friday night with a possible changeover to all winter precipitation on Friday night. A cold rain is possible on Saturday. 

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Black Friday Bee Cast and Thanksgiving Weekend Forecast

Let's look at the latest, including the all important Friday night Upperman football forecast and the Monday night forecast for the Cookeville Christmas Parade.

VERY COLD MORNINGS:
We started this morning at a chilly 19.9° which is actually several degrees warmer than the 13.3° on Thanksgiving morning. I'm sure some of you were out doing your Christmas shopping in those temps, but I was fast asleep and warm in my bed!

FRIDAY IS WARMING UP:
Friday is expected to be nice as temperatures have warmed quickly. We are already in the 40's this morning and expect to end up around 50° under a sunny sky. Winds will generally be light. For tonight, expect cold temperatures once again with the low in the middle 20's.

UPPERMAN FORECAST:
If you're traveling to Alcoa tonight (remember that Alcoa is on eastern time) in support of the Upperman Bee's quest of a berth into the Tennessee State Football Championship game, I'd encourage you to dress warmly. Game time temps should be in the 40's but will drop through the 30's. GO BEES!

WEEKEND FORECAST:
Look for continued sunny skies and warming temperatures the rest of the weekend with highs in the 50's. I do think we'll see some increasing clouds on Sunday.

COOKEVILLE CHRISTMAS PARADE:
Expect a slight chance for rain on Monday (only 20%). Don't think it'll be any problem for the parade which starts at 7 pm. Dress warmly as temps will fall into the mid 40's during the festivities.

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Rain Chances Today; Storm Chances Sunday

We have two decent rain chances over the next 3 days. More on that in a minute.

MUCH WARMER THIS MORNING:
This morning's temperature (51.4°) is significantly warmer than the last two mornings where we started at 19° and 21°. Expect todays high to only rise a few more degrees and we'll throw in a 40% chance of rain under a cloudy sky.

REST OF WEEKEND:
Skies will remain cloudy overnight and into Saturday with a high of 65°. I think rain chances will hold off on Saturday. For Sunday a strong cold front bears down upon our area and will bring with it a good chance of thunderstorms. Some predictions are calling for strong storms and possible tornadic activity, but I'm a little hesitant at this point.

SUNNY NEXT WEEK:
Next week's forecast is for sunny and cooler weather!

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Big, Big, Big Changes Ahead for This Weekend

Have you liked the run of hot weather?
We've gone six (6) straight days with high temps of at least
87° and now three (3) straight days with a high of 90°+.

THURSDAY FORECAST THOUGHT:
Our forecasted high for Thursday is expected to be around 90°, but we'll have a 50/50 chance for thunderstorms. Don't be caught outdoors during these potentially dangerous storms. Look at the video in the next paragraph.

INCREDIBLE VIDEO:
If you've not had an opportunity to seeing the lightning video from south Jackson, TN area from September 10th, please take a look at my previous post by scrolling down this page...it could save your life.

THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH THE WEEKEND:
As promised in the title, we have big changes on tap for the weekend. After the LAST hot day on Thursday, thunderstorms will be possible through the evening hours. A cold front will drop down through our region and bring in some much cooler/drier air. Some of the chilliest yet of the upcoming Autumn season.

Thursday Night: Thunderstorms through midnight 64°
Friday: Sunny 78°
Friday Night: 49° (even lower in outlying areas)
Saturday: Sunny 75°
Saturday Night: 52°
Sunday: Sunny 81°

DID YOU KNOW?:
The ever popular did you know section has some great stuff again!

*Our 3 straight days of 90+ ties the longest streak this year (July 8-9-10)*

*The last 20 days has seen just 3 decent rain days totalling around 2"*

*We've had NO days in the 70's in September thus far*
*August had 5 days in the 70's (for the high)*

*Meteor/Sonic Boom Rock Southeast US*

*Denver Hit By Crazy Hail Storm (up to 5 feet deep)*

Today's high in the world was:
113° in Basrah, Irag

Today's low in the world was:
-77° in Amundsen-Scott, Antarctica


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Gorgeous Saturday - Weather News - Extended Forecast

What a beautiful day across Middle Tennessee this morning. We started this morning in the 50's in several locations throughout the mid-state.

WARMING TREND AHEAD:
Expect temperatures to warm each day along with chances of a pop-up thunderstorm. The first graphic shows the next 7-days for all of Middle Tennessee (hence the range in temps). For our specific forecast, click the latest, local forecast link below.

SATURDAY FORECAST:

We'll see a slight afternoon thunderstorm chance. Most of the area will see no rain. Highs in Cookeville today will be in the lower 80's with slightly cooler temperatures to our east.

SUNDAY AND BEYOND:
A 50% chance of thunderstorms for Sunday (sorry folks) with a high of 85°. Look for 88° on Monday, 90° on Tuesday, and 92° on Wednesday with a slight thunderstorm chance each day.

WEATHER NEWS:
This Month In Climate History: Earth's Hottest Temperature
Vicksburg, MS set a record low this morning
Panama City, FL set a record low this morning
Corona, CA set a record low this morning
Paducah, KY set a record low this morning
Death Valley Rangers Ask Visitors To Stop Frying Eggs
Responders Search For Dead, Answers
Lastly, here is our 3 month outlook for August, September, and October


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Good Changes In The Forecast

If there is good news from a tropical storm system, we've gotten it.

Originally, we were looking at some pretty significant rains through the weekend, but chances have decreased dramatically and we will have a fantastic weekend with the best day being Saturday with highs in the upper 70's to around 80°. Only a slight chance for thunderstorms on Sunday with highs in the mid 80's.

I do think we'll have a slight chance for rain on Friday with an occasional thunderstorm but it won't be an all-day rain out.

We see rain chances each day starting next week but they aren't that great (for now).

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Cool Nights, Warm Days

NICE NIGHT:
Look for lows tonight (Monday night into Tuesday morning) to be in the 50's by sunrise on Tuesday morning. We're already down to 62.2° at 10:45 pm.

SUNNY TUESDAY:
Tuesday's daytime high is expected to reach 82° with mostly sunny skies. A east northeast wind in the afternoon at only around 5 mph. Another clear and cool night on Tuesday evening with a low by Wednesday morning of 61°.

HERE COMES THE RAIN:
The forecast begins to change as the air will moisten. A slight chance (20%) of thunderstorms on Wednesday with a high of 85° increasing on Wednesday night (40%) with a low of 69°. Thunderstorms are likely (70%) Thursday (and we'll watch for a possibility of some strong weather) and a high of 82°. Showers are likely (60%) on Thursday night with a low of 65° and thunderstorms are likely once again on Friday (70%) with a high of 79°.

GREAT WEEKEND: 
We'll get a break this weekend with a nice day on Saturday and a high of 80° with a high of 81° on Sunday and only a slight chance for showers on Sunday. Lows mainly in the upper 50's and lower 60's.

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Updated Severe Potential This Weekend

Welcome to the first week of June.

The month of May was quite exciting with a bunch of rainfall (with 5-6" amounts common in the area and 3+ inches during May 4-5), warm weather (high of  May 20-21), and chilly weather (lows in the mid 30's on the 13th) . Just another typical month of Tennessee weather in the spring time of the year.

We are watching a potentially developing situation for later tonight and early Sunday across the Upper Cumberland. There is the potential for strong to severe storms with large, damaging hail, strong winds, and heavy rainfall with frequent lightning in the region. The main threat will be from damaging straight-line winds. Localized flooding will be possible in the areas that receive the heaviest rainfall.

The greatest potential for storms today (Saturday) will be back to our west near the Tennessee River area.

Our main threat will be during the overnight hours of Saturday night and sunrise on Sunday although we may see some heavier showers and thunderstorms develop this afternoon during the heat of the day and continue after the strongest line comes through on Sunday morning.

The upcoming week will feature a variety of weather including sunshine, a chance for storms and highs mainly in the 80's.

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Weekend Forecast

Scattered rainfall amounts on Friday as some areas received no rain but others received quite a drenching. Amounts range from 1.29" just west of Murfreesboro to around .20" for many other locations. Here in Cookeville at my station, we recorded just .26". The rain was light and lingered for much of the day. The severe weather, thankfully,  never developed.

I'm not confident in seeing any severe weather the rest of the weekend, however, there is still the potential for a few strong thunderstorms to develop. With plenty of moisture in the atmosphere, the other ingredients are in place for the development of a few strong thunderstorms. The weekend will not, by any means, be a complete washout. We are most likely to have the garden variety afternoon thunderstorm activity develop similar to a summer pattern. The coolest day over the next 7-10 days was today followed by tomorrow.

Friday's high was just 72.2° early (9:46 am) and I expect we'll be in the upper 70's on Saturday. For Sunday we are back in the 80's and stay there all week. Our best shot at topping 90° comes on Monday and Tuesday with Tuesday being most likely. We'll back down to highs near 80° toward the end of next week.



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Second Consecutive 85° Daytime High

Who would have thought we'd have frost on Monday morning and then hit 85° for highs on both Wednesday and Thursday? What a quick turnaround. This is what I love about May..it 'may' get chilly but it won't stay around long.

We're seeing some activity this afternoon on radar but most of us will see no rain. Thunderstorm chances do ramp up on Friday to 60% and continue to be likely through all of Saturday. Highs will be only around 80° on Friday and Saturday warming to the mid 80's once again on Sunday.

The first of next week promises sunny skies and highs in the middle 80's. Welcome to summer!

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Friday Night Weather Update - Flooding Rains Saturday

Another round of heavy rainfall is forecast for Saturday and Sunday in the Cookeville and surrounding areas. We're under a FLOOD WATCH through Sunday afternoon. Expectations of rainfall amounts are in the 2"-4" with some isolated amounts in the 5" range. Last weekend we recorded 3.11" of rainfall and there were problems reported across many areas of Middle TN. With saturated grounds and the potential for more rainfall than last weekend, the possibility exists for greater problems this weekend.

I've posted links below to radar.

The counties affected in this watch beginning at 7 am on Saturday are the following:
Bedford
Cannon
Clay
Coffee
Cumberland
Dekalb
Fentress
Grundy
Jackson
Macon
Overton
Pickett
Putnam
Rutherford
Smith
Sumner
Trousdale
Van Buren
White
Warren
Wilson

Remember a flood watch means there is a potential for flooding based upon the current forecasts. You should be aware of and monitor the latest forecasts along with being alert for possible flood warnings. People living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take immediate action should flooding develop.

National Weather Service Radar - Nashville

I will be monitoring statements from the National Weather Service all weekend and will bring you a variety of updates here and on the social media sites listed below. Stay tuned.

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Super Tuesday But Wet Wednesday

No complaints in the weather department on Tuesday across the Upper Cumberland and Middle TN areas. We saw highs hit 75° in Cookeville and even warmer back toward Nashville.

Unfortunately this run of great weather comes to a screeching halt in the very early morning hours with gusty south winds and rain developing. The rain will mix with thunderstorms on Wednesday (a 100% chance) and a high of 61° along with windy conditions. We'll be quite chilly on Wednesday night with a low of 37° by Thursday morning.

Temperatures moderate a few degrees on Thursday with sunny skies and a high of 64°. Expect temps to reach near 70° by Friday but then showers return for the weekend just in time for the Country Music Marathon in Nashville.

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Rain, More Rain, and Then Snow

A 100% chance for rain today in middle TN. Here in Cookeville expect a high of 52° with temperatures falling during the day. Winds will be from 15 to 20 out of the SSW and gust to 30 mph.

The rain continues tonight with a rain/snow mix possible after midnight. A low of 36°. Little to no accumulation is expected.

A chance of rain or snow each day through the weekend with best snow chances coming Friday, Friday night and into Saturday.

We are stuck in an interesting weather pattern from tonight through the weekend. The entire 7-day forecast is below.

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Strange Day But Short-Lived Relief Ahead

Quite the weather day across much of middle Tennessee with freezing rain to our west past Nashville but only rain in much of the rest of the mid-state. The highest accumulation of ice as of 9:30 pm CST is in Dickson and Perry Counties where around 1/4" is being reported. Typically anything under 1/4" is considered a nuisance. Disruptions can occur with 1/2" while widespread accumulations over 1/2" are considered crippling.

Locally in the Cookeville area, it's been an all rain event. If we don't drop by 3-5° tonight, we should remain all rain by the morning. Temperatures should recover nicely on Wednesday with a daytime high of 42° and rain chance of 60%. A slight rain/snow chance on Wednesday night with no accumulation expected and a low of 30°.

Thursday will finally see us drying out but remain cloudy with a high of 44°. Cold and partly cloudy on Thursday night with a low of 26° by sunrise on Friday.

Friday through the weekend is for warm, sunny days on Friday and Saturday with highs in the 50's but backing down to the mid 40's on Sunday.

We completely fall off the cliff with temps on Monday with a high of just 39° and falling temps with scattered flurries and a low of just 12°. Tuesday's high will be just 27°.

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