Wednesday, September 29, 2010

Another Beautiful Day (Severe Weather Awareness Day)

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A gorgeous start this morning across the Highlands of Tennessee. Temperatures in Cookeville were around the 45° to 46° range at 7 o'clock this morning. We expect sunshine-filled skies to warm us to around 75° by later this afternoon with a light ENE wind. Lovely 7-day forecast ahead with sunny, warm days and clear, cool nights. Let the 'leaf changes' begin!!

*Latest Local Forecast*

The National Weather Service office in Nashville, Tennessee is conducting a Severe Weather Awareness Day on Wednesday, September 29, 2010. The purpose of this day is to call attention to the secondary peak severe weather season that begins in the late fall. November historically has been a very active month for severe weather and tornadoes.


November has produces 48 different tornado occurrances dating back to 1885. Some of the fall severe weather events include:

November 5 1948- An F2 tornado touches down in northwest Giles County, and travels for 7 miles, crossing into Maury County before lifting. No injuries are reported.
November 6 1885- An F2 tornado touches down near Estill Springs, resulting in 3 fatalities and 8 injuries.
November 7 1996- An F2 tornado cuts a 25 mile path across Franklin County, touching down west of Huntland. The tornado lifts near Belvidere, then skips to Dechard, Oak Grove, and Alto. There is only 1 reported injury.
November 8 1957- An F2 tornado touches down at Rebel Acres, near Pulaski, during the early morning. The twister travels northeastward for 5 miles before lifting. Amazingly, no one is injured.
November 10 2002- Middle Tennessee suffers one of its worst autumn severe weather outbreaks ever. Four tornadoes strike the Highland Rim during the early morning, with 2 fatalities in Port Royal. Then, following record high temperatures at Nashville (81) and Crossville (75), severe weather re-ignites during the late afternoon, with widespread wind damage, hail, and 8 additonal tornadoes. Lake Tansi Village, south of Crossville, is hardest hit, as a supercell produces baseball-size hail and an F3 tornado, killing 4. Two additional fatalities occur at New Union (Coffee County) as the result of two F2 tornadoes there. In addition to the 8 fatalities, 51 injuries are reported across the area. This is the 5th largest tornado outbreak in mid state history.
November 14 1951- An F2 tornado touches down briefly between the Elkton and Prospect communities in Giles County. There are no reported injuries.
November 15 2005- The second largest tornado outbreak in Middle Tennessee history produces 19 twisters across the mid state. One person is injured in Collinwood (Wayne County). This is the most tornadoes ever recorded in one day in the mid state with no fatalities.
November 18 1957- An F2 tornado cuts a 15 mile path across Fentress County, including the Armathwaite community. There is only 1 reported injury.
November 19 1906- An F2 tornado strikes the Mulberry community in Lincoln County, resulting in 8 injuries.
November 20 1900- F4 tornado cuts a devastating swath 300 yards wide and 8 miles long along the northwest edge of Columbia. Hardin, Wayne, and Lewis Counties may have had related tornado activity before the storm reached Columbia. Most deaths are in the Macedonia community, 2 miles west of Columbia, where the homes and cabins are "turned into kindling wood." The funnel was moving northeastward, heading for the center of Columbia, but turns suddenly to the north. Damage is estimated at $40,000. The tornado kills 27, and injures 75. It is the 4th deadliest tornado to ever strike Middle Tennessee. An F3 tornado kills 9 and injures 40 along a 25-mile path across Williamson, Davidson, and Rutherford Counties.
November 23 1983- An F1 tornado touches down near Hurricane Mills (Humphreys County). No one is injured.
November 26 1925- F3 tornado touches down near Charlotte (Dickson County). Two farms, six miles apart, lost buildings. Timber is downed between the two farms. On the first farm, a two story log home is blown apart. Logs were driven into the ground 100 yards away. Damage is estimated at $10,000. 1985- Wind gust of 60 mph is recorded at Nashville.
November 27 1994- An F0 tornado cuts a 2 mile path through Bumpus Mills (Stewart County). No injuries are reported.



Right now is the perfect time of the year to check your preparedness plans. Make sure that your NOAA Weather Radio has fresh batteries in it and it is tuned properly to the nearest NOAA Weather Radio transmitter. Make sure you have a means of receiving severe weather information, whether you are at home, work, school, or travelling. Make sure you know what you should do if threatening weather approaches.

The routine weekly test on NOAA Weather Radio will be conducted on Severe Weather Awareness Day. Media outlets will be working with the National Weather Service to publicize weather safety as well.

Additional Related Links

Middle Tennessee Tornado Database - Check out details on the all documented tornadoes that have hit Middle Tennessee since 1830, including those that have struck during the fall months.
NOAA Weather Radio - Details on all transmitters across Middle Tennessee and SAME codes that you can use to set your NOAA Weather Radio.
Flash Floods and River Floods - While tornadoes are a big threat to Middle Tennessee, flash flooding kills more people per year than any other weather hazard. Learn more information through this brochure.
Calendar of Significant Weather Events - A daily breakdown of significant weather events that occurred since 1830 for Middle Tennessee -- Very interesting!

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Saturday, September 25, 2010

Weekend Outlook

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VERY NICE!
It is a gorgeous Saturday across the Highlands of Tennessee. Temperatures in Cookeville this afternoon are mostly in the upper 70's with highs expected to reach near 80° later today. Tonight, expect lows to dip all the way into the middle 50's. We'll certainly be enjoying that.

RAIN MOVES IN:
For Sunday, expect rain chances to increase with highs mainly in the middle 70's and about a 40% chances of thunderstorms. These storms increase in coverage on Sunday night and Monday with a low of 57° and highs on Monday only near 70°. The rest of the week calls for rain showers on Monday night and Tuesday with sunshine returning Wednesday through Friday. Highs mainly in the 70's and lows mainly in the 50's.

*Latest Local Forecast*

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Sunday, September 19, 2010

Hot Work Week Ahead

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THE HEAT IS ON: 
This seems to be a theme that just won't go away! Late on this Sunday afternoon (4:30 pm), we're at 89° in Cookeville, Tennessee after hitting 90° once again. It is the 7th day this month and the 61st day since June 1st we've reached 90°.

THE WEEK AHEAD IS HOT:
Expect those same 90's to rule the week ahead as we're under the influence of a dome of hot air...very hot air for late September. The 7-day forecast does offer some hope by the weekend, however I would caution everyone that it is a bit far too many days out to count on a cool down. We'll keep an eye on it.


Cookeville's Daily Almanac
Sunday morning low: 58.9°
Yesterday's high: 86.3°
Yesterday's low: 53.3°
Normal High: 81°
Record: 97° in 1931
Normal Low: 55°
Record: 39° in 1916
Last Year: 83° and 65°
1.36" of rain fell on this date in 2006

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Thursday, September 16, 2010

Hazardous Weather Outlook

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A chance (slight) of strong storms later today...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MIDDLE TENNESSEE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A CHANCE FOR STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE
AFTERNOON...MAINLY ACROSS NORTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE AS A WEAK COLD
FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA. THE MAIN HAZARD WILL BE LOCALIZED
DAMAGING WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

EVEN THOUGH ANY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BE BRIEF AND
ISOLATED, SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO CLOSELY MONITOR WEATHER
CONDITIONS AND BE PREPARED TO CALL IN ANYTHING REACHING REPORTING
CRITERIA.

$$

SPOTTER THUNDERSTORM REPORTING CRITERIA...
TORNADO
FUNNEL CLOUD
FLOODING
HAIL >= 1/2 INCH
WINDS > 50 MPH (MEASURED)
STRUCTURAL DAMAGE
TREES OR POWER LINES DOWN

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Sunday, September 12, 2010

What A Forecast!

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Enjoy this great weather!

Today
Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
 
Tonight
Clear...cool. Lows in the upper 40s valleys...lows in the mid 50s elsewhere. Light north winds in the evening becoming calm.
 
Monday
Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Light north winds.
 

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Saturday, September 11, 2010

Another Update

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348 PM CDT SAT SEP 11 2010

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT CANNON... CLAY...CUMBERLAND...
DEKALB...FENTRESS...JACKSON...MACON...OVERTON...PICKETT...PUTNAM...
RUTHERFORD... SMITH...TROUSDALE...VAN BUREN...WARREN...WHITE AND
WILSON COUNTIES...

AT 345 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 6 MILES SOUTH OF
TOMPKINSVILLE TO CARTHAGE...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 11 MILES
NORTHWEST OF CELINA TO CARTHAGE...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE APPROPRIATE
ACTION SHOULD SEVERE WEATHER THREATEN.

SMALL HAIL...AND WINDS AROUND 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS.


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Forecast Update

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Get through storms around the 4-5 PM time frame and rest of night will be nice.

335 PM CDT SAT SEP 11 2010

.NOW...

A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE THROUGH
MIDDLE TENNESSEE AND THE CUMBERLAND PLATEAU. THE BIGGEST THREAT
WITH THESE STORMS WILL BE GUSTY WINDS. THE STORMS WILL BE ALONG A
LIVINGSTON TO COOKEVILLE TO SMITHVILLE TO WOODBURY LINE BY 4PM.
BEHIND THE STORMS LOOK FOR CLEARING SKIES AND PLEASANT CONDITIONS
FOR THIS EVENING.

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Special Weather Statement

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...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT

CLAY...DEKALB...JACKSON... MACON...OVERTON...PICKETT...PUTNAM...SMITH...SUMNER...TROUSDALE... WHITE AND WILSON COUNTIES...

AT 250 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 7 MILES NORTH OF LAFAYETTE TO GALLATIN...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

THESE STORMS WILL BE NEAR...
LAFAYETTE BY 305 PM CDT. HARTSVILLE BY 315 PM CDT. LEBANON BY 320 PM CDT. CARTHAGE BY 350 PM CDT. GORDONSVILLE BY 400 PM CDT.

SMALL HAIL...AND WINDS 40 TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS.


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Strong Storms West

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We have strong storms back to our west. A line of these storms has formed and will march eastward later this afternoon. See announcement below.

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT CHEATHAM...CLAY...DAVIDSON...
DICKSON...HICKMAN...JACKSON...MACON...ROBERTSON...RUTHERFORD...
SMITH...SUMNER...TROUSDALE...WILLIAMSON AND WILSON COUNTIES...

AT 212 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM PORTLAND TO
DICKSON...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 18 MILES NORTH OF GALLATIN
TO DICKSON...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

THESE STORMS WILL BE NEAR...
PORTLAND BY 230 PM CDT.
WHITE BLUFF BY 240 PM CDT.
WHITE HOUSE BY 245 PM CDT.
FAIRVIEW BY 250 PM CDT.
KINGSTON SPRINGS BY 305 PM CDT.
PEGRAM BY 310 PM CDT.

SMALL HAIL...AND WINDS 30 TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS.

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Update On Storm Chances

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From the Nat'l Weather Service...

124 PM CDT SAT SEP 11 2010

.NOW...
SCATTERED TO POSSIBLY NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP
INTO MID AFTERNOON. HEAVY DOWNPOURS CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THE STRONGER
STORMS...WHICH WILL LEAVE WATER STANDING ON ROADWAYS. STRONGER STORMS
MAY ALSO PRODUCE WIND GUSTS TO 35 MPH AND SMALL HAIL. STORMS WILL
MOVE EAST NEAR 25 MPH.

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Weekend Outlook

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FYI..THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MIDDLE TENNESSEE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL AFFECT THE MID STATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE...AND THE MAIN THREATS WILL BE
BE DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

EVEN THOUGH ANY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BE BRIEF AND
ISOLATED, SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO CLOSELY MONITOR WEATHER
CONDITIONS AND BE PREPARED TO CALL IN ANYTHING REACHING REPORTING
CRITERIA.

$$

SPOTTER THUNDERSTORM REPORTING CRITERIA...
TORNADO
FUNNEL CLOUD
FLOODING
HAIL >= 1/2 INCH
WINDS > 50 MPH (MEASURED)
STRUCTURAL DAMAGE
TREES OR POWER LINES DOWN

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Friday, September 10, 2010

36 Hour Forecast..

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Rain!

Today
Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Some storms may produce heavy rainfall. Highs around 80. Light south winds. Chance of rain 40 percent.
 
Tonight
Mostly cloudy with scattered showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Light south winds in the evening becoming calm. Chance of rain 30 percent.
 
Saturday
Showers and thunderstorms likely. Some storms may be severe. Highs in the upper 80s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 60 percent.
 

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Thursday, September 9, 2010

Rain Returning For Weekend

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NICE THURSDAY ON TAP:
Expect a decent day ahead with highs near 80° in Cookeville. Skies will remain mostly cloudy throughout the day. A slight chance of rain overnight with a low of 61°. Friday's weather will be mostly cloudy with a 40% chance of thunderstorms, mainly in the afternoon. The high will be in the mid 80's. Storm chances remain for Friday night and increase on Saturday with lows in the mid 60's and highs in the mid 80's. Sunshine returns for Sunday.

ANNUAL CAPSHAW COUGAR RUN:
The fundraiser for the Cookeville school is this Friday morning. It is a local tradition. The forecast for the event is for cloudy skies and temperatures rising from around 70° to 75° by the time the run is complete.

FALL FUN FEST:
The annual Fall Fun Fest takes place this weekend in Cookeville. It features some of the best BBQ teams in the country competing for awards. There is also a street fair, concerts, and a lot of fun for kids! The forecast is a bit of challenge for Friday night and Saturday as Fun Fest goers may be dodging some rain, especially on Saturday!

CAVALIERS HIGH SCHOOL FOOTBALL:
Friday night at 7 pm, our Cookeville High School Cavaliers take on Lebanon here in Cookeville. There is a slight chance (about 33%) for rain with a game time temperature of 80° falling back to 73° by the late fourth quarter. GO CAVS!


Cookeville's Daily Almanac 
Yesterday's high: 81.2° 
Yesterday's low: 64.9° 
Normal High: 83° 
Record: 102° in 1925
Normal Low: 59° 
Record: 45° in 1958
Last Year: 84° and 60°
1.01" of rain fell on this date in 1957
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Monday, September 6, 2010

A Perfect Holiday Weekend

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NICE SUNSET:
What a fantastic way to close a nearly perfect Labor Day holiday weekend. The view from the Cookeville City Cam high atop the CPAC and CPD shows a beautiful sunset. Temperatures at 7:35 pm are running right around 70°. We had a high this afternoon of 90°, which is exactly 10° higher than on Sunday and 13.4° higher than on Saturday. It is also the first time since Thursday that we've hit 90°.

HOT WORK WEEK AHEAD:
The week ahead calls for the hot weather to stick around and we may just see a little wet weather by mid-week. Don't run out and start getting all your Autumn things as the heat is just begging to stay with us.


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Labor Day Forecast - Rest of Week

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Expect temps to heat up once again during the upcoming week.

Today
Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
 
Tonight
Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Light south winds in the evening becoming calm.
 
Tuesday
Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s to lower 90s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
 
Rest of Week...
A carbon copy of Tuesday.

Enjoy your Labor Day holiday.


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Sunday, September 5, 2010

Start in the 40's and End in the 70's

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CHILLY MORNING:
We've seen near record lows across much of the state of Tennessee this Sunday morning. 40's were very common as the sun was rising. Here in Cookeville, I measured 45° at 5:20 am while our official National Weather Service COOP Station had 44°.

Highs for Sunday will be 79° while on Labor Day, we'll see 85° after another chilly overnight with lows around 50°. Enjoy your day!!

*Latest Local Forecast*

FREE COFFEE and DOUGHNUTS:
Today, Sunday, September 5, 2010, Trinity Assembly in Algood has free coffee and donuts. Come join us for the early (8:30 am service) or the second service at 10:30 am. Both are CDT (Central Daylight Time). If you can't be there live, grab a cup of coffee at home and join us LIVE on the web at: http://www.trinityalgood.com

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Saturday, September 4, 2010

Record Low Possible!

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**Late Night Update**

At 10:25 pm, it is 54° and temperatures have dropped rapidly since sunset.

To give you perspective, it was 73.3° at 7 pm and 60.9° at 8 pm.

The record low for Sunday is 46° set back in 1997.

We are looking at the possibility of being at or below 46° by sunrise.

*Latest Local Forecast*

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In The 40's

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CHILLY START:
We dropped all the way to 49° this Saturday morning in Cookeville, Tennessee. It is the first time we've been that cool since May 10th when the low was 41°. Temperatures will warm rapidly in the morning son and we'll see highs in the middle 70's this afternoon. Tonight, expect more chilly temps as lows drop to the upper 40's once again.

REST OF LABOR DAY WEEKEND:
Chilly start again for Sunday with highs in the upper 70's, lows Sunday night into Monday morning in the lower 50's, and much warmer highs on Labor Day (Monday) in the upper 80's!


Did you know this morning's low of 49° was 2° short of the record low of 47° set in 1924?


Cookeville's Daily Almanac
This Morning's low: 49.4°
Yesterday's high: 80.9°
Yesterday's low: 59.1°
Normal High: 84°
Record: 103° in 1925
Normal Low: 60°
Record: 47° in 1924
Last Year: 82° and 59°
2.91" of rain fell on this date in 1933
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Friday, September 3, 2010

Labor Day Forecast (Cool)

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COOL DOWN NEAR:
After a bit of a break, the Weather Guy is back. We're in the 70's (with sunshine) this morning across Cookeville and the Upper Cumberland region of Tennessee. Expect highs to reach 85° before we start falling as an approaching cold front will bring Autumn-like conditions. Not much rain is associated with this front. Expect falling temperatures late this afternoon with much cooler and drier air behind the front.

40's possible by Sunday morning:
Gradually clearing skies tonight with lows in the middle 50's. Sunny and cool on Saturday with highs only in the middle 70's. Saturday night will be quite chilly and we may even see some upper 40's by Sunday (record is 46°) at daybreak. Warmer during the day Sunday with highs near 80° and a warming trend starts on Monday, which is Labor Day, with highs in the middle 80's.



Cookeville's Daily Almanac-
Sept 3rd, 2010 
Yesterday's high: 90.0°
Yesterday's low: 62.8°
Normal High: 84°
Record: 101° in 1925
Normal Low: 60°
Record: 44° in 1987
Last Year: 80° and 61°
2.34" of rain fell on this date in 2003
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Thursday, September 2, 2010

Cool down Coming

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You're going to love this weekend's weather!

Today
Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Light northwest winds.
 
Tonight
Mostly clear with isolated showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Light southwest winds. Chance of rain 20 percent.
 
Friday
Mostly cloudy in the morning then becoming partly sunny. Scattered showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. West winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 30 percent.
 
Friday Night
Partly cloudy. Cool. Lows in the mid 50s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
 
Saturday
Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
 
Saturday Night
Clear. Unseasonably cool. Lows in the lower 50s.
 
Sunday
Mostly sunny. Highs around 80.
 
Sunday Night
Clear...cool. Lows in the mid 50s.
 
Labor Day through Wednesday
Mostly clear. Highs in the mid to upper 80s. Lows in the lower to mid 60s.


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