Monday, January 31, 2011
Busy Weather Week Ahead
A Wind Advisory is in effect for tonight through Tuesday morning. The winds will continue to be blustery all the way through Tuesday as a strong cold front battles with the warm air for dominance. The cold air will finally win out on Wednesday and we may see a few snow flurries flying.
The rest of the week will be chilly with highs mainly in the 30's on Wednesday, Thursday, and Friday. As of now, I expect a warming trend next weekend.
*Latest Local Forecast*
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Sunday, January 30, 2011
Lovely Day
Partly sunny. Mild. Highs in the mid 60s. West winds around 5 mph.
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Wednesday, January 26, 2011
So...What Now?
The biggest killer in this event was the changeover time. Had we changed to all snow by 10 pm last as was forecasted, we would have had 4-8" of snow...but forecasting snow is a complicated process and even though we know a lot about weather, sometimes it just fools us!
Enjoy the snow..we'll see waves of it throughout the morning hours and it just may be heavy at times!
*Latest Local Forecast*
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Tuesday, January 25, 2011
Major Snowstorm Ahead
I think this snow projection map will thrill many and leave some scratching their heads! Currently, at 8:50 pm in Cookeville, it is 42°. We've got a ways to go in seeing the temperature drop before the snow can actually begin. Experts are saying we should see a changeover beginning around 10 pm with the heaviest snow coming in the very early morning hours through around 9 am.
The National Weather Service calls this storm 'a very dynamic and moist winter system'. The bullseye appears to be the northeastern section of middle Tennessee and along the Cumberland Plateau. That means Cookeville and vicinity! A Winter Storm Warning is in effect through 3 pm on Wednesday.
Temperatures overnight will hover around 30° or just below. This will cause for a wet, heavy snow to fall. This is great for building a snowman! Roads should improve quickly after sunrise since temperatures on Wednesday are expected to be above freezing.
By the time this current storm winds down, we'll see anywhere from 4-6" or HIGHER in the typical locations. So, get out your snow shovel, get ready to enjoy a gorgeous landscape, and travel carefully. This has been quite a year for snow!
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Here It Comes! Winter Storm Warning
Statement as of 1:14 PM CST on January 25, 2011
....Winter Storm Warning in effect from midnight tonight to 3 PM
CST Wednesday...
The National Weather Service in Nashville has issued a Winter
Storm Warning for eastern middle Tennessee and plateau is in effect
from midnight tonight to 3 PM CST Wednesday.
* Geographic area: eastern middle Tennessee and the Cumberland
Plateau... including the cities of Crossville...Jamestown...Cookeville
and Spencer.
* Timing: snow accumulating around midnight and continuing
through Wednesday morning.
* Accumulations:4 to 6 inches of snow is expected...with locally
higher amounts possible.
* Impacts:travel conditions will become hazardous tonight and
Wednesday morning.
Precautionary/preparedness actions...
A Winter Storm Warning means significant amounts of snow...sleet...and
ice are expected or occurring. This will make travel very
hazardous or impossible.
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Another Snowstorm Coming
Special Weather Statement
Statement as of 5:13 AM CST on January 25, 2011
....A Winter Storm Watch is in effect for the midstate for late
tonight through Wednesday morning...
A developing low pressure system in the Gulf of Mexico will move
through the deep south today and Wednesday. This storm will spread
light rain across the area today. The precipitation will then
switch to a rain-snow mix this evening.
All snow is then expected from late Tuesday night into Wednesday.
Snow will begin to taper off Wednesday afternoon from the west as
the low pulls north eastward up the East Coast.
No snow accumulation is expected through Tuesday evening. However an
accumulating snow of 1 to 3 inches is likely late Tuesday night with
an additional 1 to 3 inches on Wednesday morning. Expected total
snow accumulations by Wednesday afternoon...1 to 3 inches in the
northwest counties...2 to 4 inches in the central counties
west of the plateau and 3 to 5 inches in the Cumberland plateau
counties.
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Sunday, January 23, 2011
Snow and Rain Chances All Week
An interesting forecast overnight as a system moves through and we could see around 1/2" of snow by morning. Snow continues on Monday with another 1/2" possible before noon. It'll be warmer with a high of 47° (after a sunny high of 40° on Sunday) but that'll definitely be the warmest day of our 7-day forecast period.
Rain changes to snow overnight Monday with a rain/snow mix on Tuesday becoming ALL SNOW Tuesday night. Expect some accumulations from that system as well. Snow continue into Wednesday with flurries on Thursday and Thursday night.
Much more in the latest, local forecast below.
*Latest Local Forecast*
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Saturday, January 22, 2011
More Snow (Special Weather Statement)
I'm hearing a new term called SFS (Snow Fatigue Syndrome) or SDS (Snow Derangement Syndrome). SFS is the non-serious variety where you suffer from a desire to drive south until you reach an area that is in the 70's while SDS is a much more serious issue that involves screaming and crying at such things like weather forecasts, school closing reports, etc. Some have gone so far as to yell at their local weather people. I won't name any names! :)
The following is a Special Weather Statement from the National Weather Service.
... More wintry weather on the way for middle Tennessee...
An active winter weather pattern will continue across the
region... bringing the possibility for accumulating snow in middle
Tennessee through the coming week.
The first system will bring light snowfall late Sunday afternoon
through Sunday night. Accumulations are expected to be less than
1 inch with this system... and mostly over the north half of the
mid state. The snow will slushy... and warmer temperatures on
Monday will cause most of it to melt by afternoon.
The next potential snow maker will be a large storm system that
will develop over the southeast states on Tuesday. This storm is
expected to produce widespread precipitation over the eastern
United States... with some of that precipitation pushing into mid
Tennessee. The exact strength and track of this storm are
uncertain... and minor changes could make big differences in the
amount of snow. At this time... it appears areas along and west of
I 65 could receive an inch or 2... while areas east of I 65
including the Cumberland Plateau could get several inches of snow
Tuesday and Tuesday night.
Later in the week... cold air and a series of weak systems could
bring additional light snowfall.
During this period of fast changing and complex winter weather
patterns... decision makers and people with travel plans should
monitor updated weather information frequently. Be prepared to
adjust your plans accordingly if winter weather advisories or
warnings are issued
*Latest Local Forecast*
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Thursday, January 20, 2011
Schools Announcement
(Closings and Delays Alert) Putnam County Schools: Closed
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Snow Update
No word yet on schools for Putnam County (as of 6:20 pm), however Jackson County, Overton County, Macon County, and Clay County schools have decided to close on Friday as well as many others across middle Tennessee. I expect to begin seeing decisions regarding school cancellations in the Upper Cumberland over the next couple of hours. My bet is a bunch of them will end up being closed.
*Latest Local Forecast*
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Are You Ready For Some Snow?
Total snow accumulations by midnight will be in the 2-3" range with locally higher amounts in the typical locations like Monterey, Hanging Limb, Jamestown, Allardt, Clarkrange, and Grimsley where we could see 4" plus measurements.
Again, road impacts will be significant especially after dark.
*Latest Local Forecast*
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Wednesday, January 19, 2011
New Advisory
Statement as of 12:06 PM CST on January 19, 2011
....Winter Weather Advisory in effect from 6 PM Thursday to 6 am
CST Friday...
The National Weather Service in Nashville has issued a Winter
Weather Advisory for snow...which is in effect from 6 PM Thursday to
6 am CST Friday.
* Geographic area: Cumberland Plateau region
* timing: rain is expected to change to snow Thursday evening.
Snow will taper to scattered snow showers after midnight.
* Accumulations: 1 to 3 inches.
* Impacts: travel conditions are expected to become hazardous
Thursday and Thursday night.
Precautionary/preparedness actions...
A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of snow...sleet...or
freezing rain will cause travel difficulties. Be prepared for
slippery roads and limited visibilities...and use caution while
driving.
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Tuesday, January 18, 2011
Significant Snow Coming Thursday
Statement as of 7:35 AM CST on January 18, 2011
....Another significant snowfall expected in middle Tennessee on Thursday
afternoon and Thursday night...
A very cold air mass will push southward out of Canada on Wednesday...
and reach the mid state on Thursday afternoon. A band of snow will
occur at the leading edge of this Canadian air...and push into
northwestern middle Tennessee Thursday afternoon. Temperatures will
warm briefly into the lower 40s Thursday morning...but will likely
tumble into the upper 20s in the Clarksville area by sunset Thursday.
Snowfall will likely accumulate in northwestern areas Thursday
afternoon...with accumulating snows pushing into other parts of
the mid state Thursday night...with temperatures tumbling through
the 20s area wide. Some of the snow could linger along the
Cumberland Plateau into early Friday...before tapering off to
flurries.
Right now...it looks like accumulations over the mid state will
average between one and two inches...with locally higher amounts
to 3 and 4 inches possible along the Cumberland Plateau.
If you are planning travel across the mid state later this
week...you should expect to encounter some wintry weather...starting
Thursday afternoon and lingering into Friday. Highs on Friday are
only forecast to be in the mid 20s to lower 30s.
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Thursday, January 13, 2011
Tennessee Tech Announcement
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Wednesday, January 12, 2011
Classes Canceled At Tennessee Tech on Thursday
Text of TTU announcement:
*Latest Local Forecast*
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Tuesday, January 11, 2011
Snow Continues Through Wednesday
The map today is the snowfall totals as of 6 pm yesterday, 1/10/2011.
*Latest Local Forecast*
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Monday, January 10, 2011
Winter Weather Advisory and Update at 5 PM CDT
Statement as of 3:38 PM CST on January 10, 2011
...Winter Weather Advisory in effect until 6 PM CST Tuesday...
...Winter Storm Warning is canceled...
The National Weather Service in Nashville has issued a Winter
Weather Advisory for freezing drizzle and snow...which is in
effect until 6 PM CST Tuesday.
* Geographic area: some cities in the advisory area include
Celina...Cookeville...Jamestown...Crossville...McMinnville...and
Spencer.
* Accumulation: less than one tenth inch of freezing drizzle.
Additional snow accumulation up to an inch...except 1 to 3
inches of snow possible near the Kentucky and Tennessee border.
* Timing: valid through 6 PM Tuesday.
* Impacts: hazardous driving conditions will continue due to any
freezing drizzle and snow that occurs.
Precautionary/preparedness actions...
A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of snow...sleet...or
freezing rain will cause travel difficulties. Be prepared for
slippery roads and limited visibilities...and use caution while
driving.
Major Winter Storm Not Letting Up
*Latest Local Forecast*
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Snow Amounts
Statement as of 7:30 AM CST on January 10, 2011
....Snowfall amounts across middle TN overnight...
The winter storm brought a wide range of snowfall to the area
overnight. Amounts range from as little as 1 inch across portions
of the far north...to as much as 13 inches at Minor Hill in Giles
County. Here are some snowfall accumulation reports from counties
across middle TN as of 7 am this morning...
Giles...10 to 13 inches.
Grundy...8 inches.
Marshall...8 inches.
Lawrence...8 inches.
Coffee...7 inches.
Bedford...7 inches.
Perry...6 inches.
Maury...5 1/2 inches.
Rutherford...5 1/2 inches.
Lewis...5 inches.
Warren...4 1/2 inches.
Van Buren...4 1/2 inches.
White...4 1/2 inches.
Davidson...3 to 4 inches.
Hickman...3 inches.
Smith...3 inches.
Fentress...3 inches.
Williamson...3 inches.
Humphreys...2 inches.
Cheatham...2 inches.
Cumberland...2 inches.
Stewart...2 inches.
Sumner...2 inches.
Montgomery...1 1/2 inches.
Macon...1 1/2 inches.
Robertson...1 inch.
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Sunday, January 9, 2011
Update on Winter Storm Warning
Interestingly enough, areas in Mississippi, Alabama, and Georgia will do even better (in terms of greater accumulations) than we will in Middle Tennessee. The greatest amounts for the Volunteer State will be to our south in a line from Columbia, Lawrenceburg, Winchester, to McMinnville where totals by Monday morning could well be in the 3-6" range.
For the Cookeville area, check out the following graphics to see where we'll land. As always, the latest, local forecast is at the bottom of the post. By the way, each of these graphics can be clicked on to enlarge.
*Latest Local Forecast*
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Winter Storm Warning (All of Middle Tennessee)
We expect snow to begin in Cookeville and surrounding towns by midnight and expect anywhere from 2 to 4" of accumulation with higher amounts on the Plateau toward Monterey, Jamestown, Clarkrange, Grimsley, Allardt, and Pall Mall.
We expect hazardous driving conditions to develop overnight as well. Remember, a winter storm warning means significant amounts of snow are expected or occurring and will make travel very hazardous or impossible.
*Latest Local Forecast*
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Cold Overnight
Public Information Statement
Statement as of 8:00 AM CST on January 09, 2011
....Public information statement...
...Very cold morning lows across middle Tennessee...
The coldest conditions so far this winter dropped low temperatures
into the single digits and teens this Sunday morning. Jamestown in
Fentress County fell to zero enhanced by the 4 inches of snow on
the ground.
Nashville ...13
Crossville ...6
Clarksville ...9
Brentwood ...10
Centerville ...13
Columbia ...13
Crab Orchard ...2
Franklin ...13
Jamestown ...0
Monterey ...4
Murfreesboro ...11
Old Hickory ...12
Pulaski ...14
Smithville ...10
Wartrace ...11
White House ...8
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Saturday, January 8, 2011
Major Winter Storm Coming
There is a Winter Storm Watch in effect from late Sunday night into Monday at noon. The watch will probably be replaced with a Winter Storm Warning on Sunday. Total snow accumulations will range from 1-6" depending on your location. The map above details the storm totals by Tuesday morning. I expect some isolated 10"+ amounts as well.
*Latest Local Forecast*
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Latest Snowfall Measurements...
1.0" at Fairfield Glade... 1.3" in Westmoreland...
3.0" in Monterey...
2.5" in Jamestown...
1.5" in Celina... 2.5" in Livingston...
1.0" in Cookeville...(that has been revised)
The current bands of snow will likely dissipate over the next couple of hours. Partly sunny this afternoon with FALLING temperatures. COLD tonight, low 12°. Next snow chances arrive Sunday night into Monday where we could potentially see TWICE as much snow compared to this current event. More in the forecast link below...*Winter Storm Watch*
*Latest Local Forecast*
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Friday, January 7, 2011
Snow Returns To Middle TN
Another winter weather producing system is expected late Sunday into Monday where we may see significant snowfall accumulations. I will update you on that system later tonight or first thing on Saturday.
*Latest Local Forecast*
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Thursday, January 6, 2011
School's Announcement
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Wednesday, January 5, 2011
Special Weather Statement
SPECIAL WEATHER
STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
1253 PM CST WED JAN 5 2011
TNZ009>011-029>034-064>066-078>080-052100-
MACON-CLAY-PICKETT-TROUSDALE-SMITH-JACKSON-PUTNAM-OVERTON-
FENTRESS-DE KALB-WHITE-CUMBERLAND-WARREN-GRUNDY-VAN BUREN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LAFAYETTE...CELINA...BYRDSTOWN...
HARTSVILLE...CARTHAGE...GAINESBORO...COOKEVILLE...LIVINGSTON...
JAMESTOWN...SMITHVILLE...SPARTA...CROSSVILLE...MCMINNVILLE...
ALTAMONT...SPENCER
1253 PM CST WED JAN 5 2011
...WINTRY PRECIPITATION OVER PARTS OF MIDDLE TENNESSEE...
A FAST MOVING WEATHER SYSTEM CONTINUED TO PRODUCE SOME WINTRY
PRECIPITATION IN PARTS OF MID TENNESSEE. AT 1245 PM...
PRECIPITATION WAS FALLING EAST OF INTERSTATE 65 AND ACROSS THE
PLATEAU. BURSTS OF SLEET AND SNOW WERE OCCURRING OVER THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS AND NORTH OF I 40. LOCATIONS AROUND
COOKEVILLE...CARTHAGE...GAINESBORO AND LIVINGSTON HAVE HAD ABOUT
ONE HALF INCH SNOW ACCUMULATION...MAINLY ON GRASSY AREAS.
HOWEVER...A FEW SLICK SPOTS HAVE DEVELOPED ON AREA ROADS.
THROUGH THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS...THE PRECIPITATION WILL BE
CROSSING THE PLATEAU...THEN MOVING EAST OF THE AREA. A FEW SLICK
SPOTS WILL DEVELOP WHERE THE SNOW IS FALLING...BUT SOON AFTER THE
SNOW MOVES AWAY...TEMPERATURES WILL WARM ABOVE FREEZING.
NO SIGNIFICANT TRAVEL PROBLEMS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE AFTERNOON COMMUTE.
LOOKING AHEAD...COLD AND UNSETTLED WEATHER IS EXPECTED LATE THIS
WEEK THROUGH AT LEAST NEXT WEEK...WITH SEVERAL OPPORTUNITIES FOR
WINTER WEATHER IN MID TENNESSEE. THIS MIGHT BE A GOOD OPPORTUNITY
FOR MIDDLE TENNESSEANS TO REVIEW WINTER WEATHER SAFETY RULES AND
UPDATE WINTER TRAVEL SUPPLIES. PLEASE MONITOR WEATHER FORECASTS
EACH DAY...FORECASTS AND CONDITIONS CAN CHANGE VERY QUICKLY IN
THESE ACTIVE AND COMPLEX WINTER WEATHER PATTERNS.
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Latest Short Term Forecast
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
708 AM CST WED JAN 5 2011
TNZ005>008-022>028-056>062-075-093>095-051530-
BEDFORD-BENTON-CHEATHAM-DAVIDSON-DICKSON-GILES-HICKMAN-HOUSTON-
HUMPHREYS-LAWRENCE-LEWIS-MARSHALL-MAURY-MONTGOMERY-PERRY-
ROBERTSON-RUTHERFORD-STEWART-SUMNER-WAYNE-WILLIAMSON-WILSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ASHLAND CITY...BRENTWOOD...CAMDEN...
CENTERVILLE...CLARKSVILLE...COLUMBIA...DICKSON...DOVER...ERIN...
FRANKLIN...GALLATIN...HOHENWALD...LAWRENCEBURG...LEBANON...
LEWISBURG...LOBELVILLE...MOUNT JULIET...MURFREESBORO...
NASHVILLE...PULASKI...SHELBYVILLE...SPRINGFIELD...WAVERLY...
WAYNESBORO
708 AM CST WED JAN 5 2011
.NOW...
PATCHY AREAS OF LIGHT RAIN WILL GRADUALLY OVERSPREAD SOUTHERN AND
WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE MID STATE THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS.
SOME LIGHT SNOWFALL OR SLEET MAY MIX IN WITH THE RAINFALL BUT NO
ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED.
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Tuesday, January 4, 2011
Snow Chances Wednesday & Friday
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Saturday, January 1, 2011
New Year's Day Update
Expect temperatures to continue falling throughout the day. At 12:35 pm, it is 44.2° down from 57.8° at 8 o'clock this morning.
Ready for some December 'by the numbers'...what a crazy month.
December stats:
High - 66.4° on 31st
Low - 9.3° on 14th
Average high - 39.9° (normal = 49.7°)
Average low - 22.7° (normal = 28.6°)
Average daily temperature - 31.3° (normal = 39.2°)
Total Snow Measurement - 8.6" (a typical winter total for us)
Record snow for December is 10" from 1916
3.13" of rain at the NWS-Coop station in south Cookeville
1.95" at my home station
Highest wind gust - 40 mph on December 31st at 11:58 pm
Finally, if you have stuck with me this far, check out this story about a 'Variable Weather Pattern' for the month of January.
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Heavy Rain Overnight (More On The Way)
For Saturday, expect temperatures to fall through the day with rain, heavy at times, especially in the morning. Look for us to fall through the 40's in the afternoon with gusty north northwest winds to 30 mph. The rest of the cool forecast is below at the link.
*Latest Local Forecast*
Winds gusted to 40 mph New Year's Eve and to 30 mph just after midnight. Been a noisy night.
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