Wednesday, August 6, 2014

Wednesday and Beyond

We awoke to a trace of rain on Wednesday morning and it was the first day in the last 3 we weren't in the 50's.

Our weather has moved into a more unstable pattern. Rain chances are 30% today and tomorrow but rise to 60% on Friday. Rain chances remain at 40% for the weekend.

Expect highs in the mid to upper 80's and lows in the upper 60's to around 70.

I don't expect the rain to completely wash out any of the next 7 days but you will need to be aware of the rain chances.

Monday, August 4, 2014

Cool Nights, Warm Days



Nice August Start:
Our run of cool evenings continue during the first several days of August. So far lows have mainly around 60° with 58.2° recorded this morning. Average low temps are 65° this time of year. We are off to another below normal month for August as the average temperature is already 4° below normal. This afternoon's high in Cookeville was 86.6°.

48-Hour Forecast:
Tonight: Clear, low 58°
Tuesday: Sunny, high 88°
Tuesday night: Clear, low 61°
Wednesday: 30% thunderstorms, high 91°

Extended Forecast:
Expect thunderstorm chances to increase for both Thursday and Friday with highs in the mid to upper 80's. Rain chances are great than 50%. Lower chances for rain this upcoming weekend with highs in the mid 80's and lows in the mid to upper 60's.

Air Quality Alert for Nashville Metro area and surrounding counties.
Areas to our west are under an Air Quality Alert issued by the Tennessee Department of Environment and Conservation from midnight tonight (Monday) through midnight on Tuesday night. Persons with respiratory disease such as asthma should limit prolonged exposure in the alert areas. The general public is not likely affected by this alert.

Tonight's Links:
3-month forecast for September through November
Latest info on Hurricane Bertha

*Latest Local Forecast*


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Saturday, August 2, 2014

The Data Is In on July 2014

Worked on some research tonight and found that July 2014 was the 2nd coolest on record. Amazingly, the coolest July was in 2009 at 71.9° average while July 2014 was 72.3°.

July 2014 was cooler than June 2014. This has only happened in 1918, 1943, 1967, 1971, 1984, and 2009. Only 7 times in 118 years.

*Latest Local Forecast*


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You Cannot Make This Stuff Up!

Interesting Weather Fact
July 2014 was cooler than June 2014 across much of Middle TN! How rare is that? Second time more that 40 years only the 15th time since records have been kept going back to late 1800's.

Interesting Weather Articles

Get A Vasectomy, Save The Planet

Lake Superior 20° Colder Than 2012

3151 Days with no Florida hurricane

UK paper claims "Solar Storm Imminent" 

Record Lows outpace Record High 2-1 in US

*Latest Local Forecast*


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Thursday, July 31, 2014

Cool, Dry July - By The Numbers

How did July 2014 shake out?

July was significantly below normal for temperature and rainfall. 

10 - days of measurable rainfall
10 - mornings where temp was 59° or lower
9 - days of high temps 80° or lower
6 - days of average temp 10°+ below normal
5 - inches of rainfall on average for July
4 - inches of rainfall July 2014
4 - days of 90° or higher
4 - degrees below normal for July 2014
2 - days of record breaking cool weather
2 - days of average temp 3° above normal
1 - days of high temps in the 60's
0 - lows that exceeded 70°

January, February, March, and July have been 2-8° below normal. April, May, and June were less than 1° above normal. 

2014 is trending to be a cool year.

*Latest Local Forecast*


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Wednesday, July 30, 2014

Another Chilly Night and Upcoming Weekend Forecast



Third Straight Night in The 50's
Are you liking the cool nights and warm days? 
We've had a large number of lows in the 50's this July with 9 nights thus far. Looks like #10 will happen this evening.

Thursday's Forecast
We'll start cool again with sunrise temps around 57-59° in and around Cookeville with afternoon highs 80-82° under a partly cloudy sky. A slight chance of rain showers overnight Thursday but I don't see it being a big rain event.

Friday Through The Weekend
Look for a rain/thundershower chance each day with highs in the low to mid 80's and lows in the low to mid 60's.

Next week promises a warm and sunny start with highs in the upper 80's and low in the mid to upper 60's.

NATIONAL HEATSTROKE PREVENTION DAY
Every 10 days an unattended child dies in a hot car. Let's stop these preventable tragedies. National Heatstroke Prevention Day is July 31. Since 1998, more than 620 kids have died from heatstroke when left unattended in a vehicle. More than half were simply forgotten; something that can happen to the most loving and caring parents when their routine is changed. Other deaths occurred when a child was intentionally left in a vehicle or climbing into a vehicle on their own and was unable to get out.

*Latest Local Forecast*


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Sunday, July 27, 2014

Tornado Watch for Sunday

Tornado Watch 445 is in effect until 700 pm CDT for the following locations in eastern Middle Tennessee and East Tennessee

Tennessee counties included are: Anderson           
Blount             
Campbell
Carter              
Claiborne          
Clay
Cocke               
Cumberland         
Fentress
Grainger            
Greene             
Hamblen
Hancock             
Hawkins            
Jackson
Jefferson           
Johnson            
Knox
Loudon              
Macon              
Morgan
Overton             
Pickett            
Putnam
Roane               
Scott              
Sevier
Sullivan            
Unicoi             
Union
Washington

Saturday, July 26, 2014

Storms Rumbling Overnight


THUNDERBOOMERS:
You may hear some rumbles of thunder overnight as storms are poised just to our north over central and south central areas of Kentucky. They are marching quickly to the south. I've posted radar links to both Wunderground and the National 
Weather Service below.

COOL MORNINGS!
Saturday's high was 87° after starting out the second morning in a row in the 50's. (59.1° at 5:56 am). It is the 8th morning in July that we've been under 60°. I expect we'll see 2 more next week. Quite a month!

HOT SUNDAY:
Sunday is expected to be a very hot day with heat index readings in Cookeville around 97-100° and a chance of storms mainly in the afternoon hours. Winds will be gusty from 15-20 mph. High temps will be around 91°.

MUCH COOLER NEXT WEEK:
A big cool down is expected Monday through Wednesday with highs in the 70's and lows in the 50's.

*Wunderground Radar*

*NWS Radar*

*Latest Local Forecast*


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Wednesday, July 23, 2014

Expect Some Thunder Boomers!

A 70% chance for thunderstorms tonight with a low of 67°. Some storms may become strong!

Check out the story about the 101 year-old who has logged 84 years as a volunteer weather observer. He never missed a day. #NoExcuses
http://www.noaanews.noaa.gov/stories2014/20140721_hendrickson.html

The full forecast is below. 

*Latest Local Forecast*


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Tuesday, July 22, 2014

Back In The 90's

We're finally back in the 90's after more than a week where temps dropped into the upper 60's for actual high temperatures! It felt hot today.

JULY 22 ALMANAC:
Records: 
Hottest: 100° in 1926 (normal: 87°)
Coolest: 53° in 2007 (normal: 66°)
Rainfall:
1.80" this date in 2011
Wettest July: 9.37" (1916)
Month to Date:
Average high: 84.7° 
(normal: 87.3)(record: 95.6° in 1980)


We saw no rainfall today (Tuesday) across the Cookeville area (most showers/storms confined to northeast plateau and southeast TN near Chattanooga and on into NE Alabama and NW Georgia) but have a 40% for Wednesday and a 70% chance of thunderstorms for Wednesday night. I think we will top 90° again on Wednesday. Thunderstorms continue on Thursday early but then we expect to slowly clear with highs in the mid 80's and lows in the low 60's on Thursday night.

For Friday expect a sunny and very nice day with a high of 85° and a low of 62°. Much of the same for Saturday with sunny skies and a high of 85°. The full forecast is below.

*Latest Local Forecast*


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Sunday, July 20, 2014

Summer Makes It's Return

I'm sure you've noticed the increase warmth today (Sunday) across the area. We've been as warm as 85° this afternoon. Some have seen a few stray showers and thunderstorms, but nothing compared to the coverage of showers the last two days.

WINTER OUTLOOK MAP:

The guys at http://firsthandweather.com/ have released a preliminary 2014-2015 winter forecast and it shows areas east of the Rockies with a winter of well below normal temps and average to above average rain/snow. I'm sure some teachers and students will love this prediction.

COLD JULY TEMPS
Speaking of cool weather, check out a couple of stories from The Weather Channel about the July record cold snap. It was one of the strongest ones ever recorded.
The Coldest July Days Ever
July Chill Brought Record Cold Temps


REST OF WEEK FORECAST:
We've returned to summer with warm temps and slight chances of afternoon thunderstorms. All the information is located in the link below.

*Latest Local Forecast*


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Saturday, July 19, 2014

Like Living in Seattle But Changes Are Ahead


Tired of the rain? I've got bad news for you!

Looks like this first round will wrap up this morning, but a second round will be on their way later this afternoon. Thundershowers will only be very isolated in our area with highs just in the mid 70's (about 15°-20° below normal).

COOKEVILLE BY THE NUMBERS:

  • 1.70" of rain recorded in last 24 hours (almost a record breaker for this date)
  • Friday's high was just 68.8° which breaks a record from 2009 for the coolest high temperature recorded in Cookeville, TN on that date by 3°.
  • 53° was the coldest low temp on record, by the way, on Thursday morning! 


SUNDAY AND THE WEEK AHEAD:
Sunday's forecast calls for a slight chance of a thunderstorm with a high of 83°. The week ahead promises a more summer type pattern with slight afternoon thunderstorm chances and highs in the upper 80's.


The end of next and the weekend just might be sunny, warm, and include no rain!

WEATHER LINK OF THE DAY:
Today's link includes an interesting graphics page from the National Weather Service in Nashville. More information than you can digest!
http://graphical.weather.gov/sectors/ohx.php

*Latest Local Forecast*


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Friday, July 18, 2014

Your Weekend Forecast and Other Fun Stuff


Kind of like Seattle weather is what one of my Facebook friends said today and I have to agree. Overcast and just enough rain to make you use your wipers and have to watch out for people who mysteriously didn't know or realize that it actually rained today!

After a mainly rainy Friday (only .30") in the rain bucket, the weekend promises much of the same.

QUICKIE FORECAST:
Friday night: 80% shower chance, low 62°
Saturday: 60% thunderstorm chance, high 76°
Saturday night: 30% thunderstorm chance, low 66°
Sunday: 40% thunderstorm chance, high 84°

Friday saw rain showers off and on for much of the afternoon with only one round of moderate showers and mostly light showers. No lightning/thunder was reported in Cookeville.

Rain chances diminish considerably next week with much warmer temperatures. Highs in the upper 80's to around 90° with lows in the upper 60's. We'll see the garden variety type of summer afternoon or early evening thunderstorm chance.

LINKS YOU CAN USE:
Tonight, I'll feature a couple of links including a much better looking mobile weather site from the National Weather Service. It really has an 'app-type feel' to it. Check out the news story here or go directly to the new site by clicking here

The other link I'd like to show you is a much better way to see the Nashville office of the National Weather Service on Facebook.
https://www.facebook.com/NWSNashville

Try out both of these and let me know what you think!

*Latest Local Forecast*


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Wednesday, July 16, 2014

Can You Believe It Is July?

Chilly tonight folks. Hard to believe it is July 16th. Just for fun a 1950's thermometer.



JUST HOW CHILLY?
Record low for the overnight is 50° in 1945.
Historically the second to third week of July is one of our hotter weeks of the summer.

THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE FRIDAY THRU NEXT WEEK
Don't get used to the cool weather. We'll heat right up again to the mid 80's by Sunday with upper 80's Monday, Tuesday, and Wednesday.  There will be thunderstorm chances starting on Friday afternoon all the way through Wednesday. The full forecast link is below.

A few links tonight:
NWS-Nashville Site Map (excellent for quick search)
NWS-Nashville Social Media Board (good stuff)

And finally:
Do you think we've been wet, dry, or about normal. The result may just surprise you.
US Drought Monitor for Tennessee

Here is the 3 month outlook for August through October. If you're looking for an early autumn then you'll be unhappy about the outlook!
August-September-October outlook


*Latest Local Forecast*


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Monday, February 17, 2014

Severe Weather Awareness Week In Tennessee

Even though this has been one of the coldest winters in recent memory, it won't be long until we have chances of severe to strong weather.

SWAW 2014:
February 16 through February 22 has been designated as Severe Weather Awareness Week across Tennessee.

MOST ACTIVE TIME OF YEAR:
Historically the spring months (March, April, and May) tend to be the most active for severe weather throughout the Volunteer State. There is a secondary season in November as well.

This Week's Events:
Sunday, February 16 - Important Role of SKYWARN Spotters
Monday, February 17 - Hazards of Flooding and Flash Floods
Tuesday, February 18 - Lightning, the Underrated Killer
Wednesday, February 19 - Tornado Safety Day with statewide TORNADO DRILL
Thursday, February 20 - Severe T-Storms and their Devastating Effects
Friday, February 21 - NOAA Weather Radio & Emergency Alert System

Skywarn information including how to get trained as a spotter

NWS Flood Products
What do they mean?



*Latest Local Forecast*


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Sunday, January 26, 2014

Here Comes The Cold (Again)

Snow showers develop after 3 am as winds turn to the north northwest after frontal passage. Gusts could be as high as 20 mph. Some locations will see as much as one-half inch of accumulation by morning. Low temperature by sunrise of 22°.


WEAR COAT, GLOVES, AND SCARF MONDAY AND TUESDAY

MONDAY'S VERY COLD FORECAST:
20% chance of snow before noon under a cloudy sky with falling temperatures all day. Not expecting any additional accumulation. Gusty winds up to 25 mph will make the day feel quick cutting on exposed skin. Expect temps around 5 pm to be in the middle teens.

BRUTAL COLD ONCE AGAIN:
On Monday night, a wind chill advisory is in effect for below zero wind chill readings from midnight through noon on Tuesday. Very cold with a low of 8°. A high of 19° is expected on Tuesday with sunny skies.



**WIND CHILL ADVISORY**

Tuesday night will be very cold once again with a low of 5°. With any snow cover, we may end up even colder but winds will die down.

Wednesday will see warmer temps with a high of 28°.

We'll probably end up around 82 hours or so below freezing after a 90+ hour run last week. Thursday will finally see us break out from freezing and get up to 41°.

The warm-up continues through the weekend with possible highs in the 50's both Saturday and Sunday! Don't get too comfortable as winter still has a ways to go.

*Latest Local Forecast*


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Gorgeous Sunday; But Near Zero Temps Returning


We're waking to temps in the upper 30's this morning at 9:00 am after an early morning low of 18°. Expect a mostly sunny sky with a high of 52° along with gusty south southwesterly winds from 15-25 mph. After that it is all downhill through at least Wednesday.

**CAUTION: SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT**

RAIN TO SNOW OVERNIGHT:
Tonight, a round of rain and snow develops as winds will turn to the northwest. We'll be right on the line for rain/snow so it is possible we'll awaken to no snow on Monday morning, but temperatures will be falling all day on Monday. We'll be down around 22° by 5 pm. As far as snow goes, it should all wrap up on Monday morning. Expect a blustery day, so dress appropriately.

BELOW ZERO WIND CHILL VALUES MONDAY NIGHT:
Monday night with be another brutally cold night with strong winds and extremely cold temperatures. Lows will bottom around 5° with a 15-25 mph wind causing wind chill readings as low as -10°.

UPPER TEENS TUESDAY WITH SINGLE DIGIT LOWS:
Tuesday will be very cold with partly sunny skies. We'll struggle to get out of the teens with a low a low on Tuesday night of 4°. Wednesday temperatures moderate a bit to 28° but we'll be back into the teens on Wednesday night. Even warmer on Thursday with highs in the lower 40's.

*Latest Local Forecast*


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Saturday, January 25, 2014

WARM UP: Finally Above Freezing

After more than 97 hours below freezing, the thermometer topped 32° in Cookeville at 12:22 pm. This run of frigid weather started back on Tuesday, January 21 at 10:51 am.

SNOWY SATURDAY MORNING:
Cookeville saw snow flurries this morning and sleet during the later mid-morning hours. Roads quickly become covered and side streets were a bit slick. Traffic flow kept main roads from getting any accumulation. Just to our north and east, snow quickly piled up on roads.

Saturday Morning Snowfall Amounts:
Celina/Clay County: Half-inch
Byrdstown/Pickett County: Half to One Inch; slick roads
Jamestown/Fentress County: Up to Two Inches: slick roads

Temperatures have moderated to 40° at 3 pm. We expect a partly cloudy night and turning very cold again with lows around 16° by sunrise on Sunday.

MINI HEAT WAVE:
Sunday will be the nicest day in quite some time with sunny skies early and a high of 53°.

Expect snow showers overnight Sunday with a low of 25°

BITTER COLD AIR RETURNS:
Cold on Monday, Tuesday, and Wednesday with highs around 30° on Monday, 16° on Tuesday, and 25° on Wednesday. Lows will be in the single digits all three nights with the Wednesday morning giving us the best chance to be BELOW ZERO.

*Latest Local Forecast*


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Friday, January 24, 2014

More Accumulating Snow for Cookeville Area

Do you know how long we've been below freezing?
The answer is below, so keep reading!

BELOW ZERO THIS MORNING:
It's going to be another cold night for the area on Friday night. Currently, at 8:00 pm, we stand at 20°. Friday's high was 27.0° at 3:41 pm. It actually felt quite nice with the sunshine if you could find an area to shelter from the wind. We started out Friday morning at -1.1° at 6:19 am.

MUCH COLDER THAN ALASKA:
Thursday's high of 18° was nearly 30° BELOW NORMAL!
Juneau, Alaska was 47° for the high yesterday!



**WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY**

FRIDAY NIGHT/SATURDAY FORECAST:
Clouds will be on the increase and along with that we'll see the temps rise a few degrees toward daybreak. Snow chances will also be on the increase and we can't rule out a 1/2" to 1" accumulation locally in Cookeville with higher amounts in the highest elevations of the Plateau. Saturday's high should be around 37° with snow wrapping up around lunch time. Expect gusty winds to 25 mph.

VERY COLD SATURDAY NIGHT:
Cold on Saturday night with clear skies late and a low of 15°

SNOW POSSIBLE AGAIN SUNDAY NIGHT:
Sunshine and warmer on Sunday with a high of 46° but we will see winds become gusty around 20 mph. Snow redevelops on Sunday night with a low of 29°. I'm not excited about any accumulation so be prepared to go to school on Monday.


BRUTAL COLD RETURNS:
Monday will see temps barely rise to 32° with gusty north winds to 20 mph. This will usher in even colder air and we'll be back into the single digits once again on Monday night. Tuesday will be very cold with highs in the lower 20's and lows again in the single digits near 0°. We may even have to tweak those temps down a few more degrees as we get closer to the event.

Wednesday's high is only expected to be around 24° under a sunny sky.

Looking out ahead, we may actually 'warm' to the 40's next weekend with rain chances!

COLD JANUARY FACTS:
Do you think it's cold? You're not alone.
Check out these January stats!

Average Daily High
January Normal - 46.2°
January 2014 - 43.2°
January 2013 - 48.3°

Average Daily Low
January Normal - 25.8°
January 2014 - 19.6°
January 2013 - 30.3°

We have recorded 6 days with high temps less than 32°.
January 2013 - we recorded just 1 day.

January 2013 coldest temperature was 17°.
January 2014 has been colder than that 9 mornings.
January 2014 has seen 2 days in which the high was just 18°.

**NEARLY 100 HOURS BELOW FREEZING:**
We went below freezing on January 21st at 10:51 am. We won't top 32° until around 11 am tomorrow which is 96 straight hours.

*Latest Local Forecast*


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Wednesday, January 22, 2014

Brutally Cold Once Again

The polar vortex has returned. Temperatures this Wednesday morning are just 2° in Cookeville, 3° in Sparta, and 1° in Crossville. In Cumberland Cove (near Monterey), a station is reporting -2°.

LIST OF SNOW TOTALS IN MIDDLE TN ON 1/21/14

We'll see highs moderate to 27° later this afternoon with sunny skies.

We're under a Special Weather Statement for MORE cold air to arrive late tonight.

Look for brisk north-northwest winds to pick up and cause temperatures and wind chills to plummet. Temperatures will be around 10° by morning and wind chill values near zero. I do expect temperatures to rise much on Thursday with highs around 17° but it'll feel like ZERO much of the day.

Thursday night's low will be down around 5°.

Friday's high around 26°

Next possible round of snow is expected on Friday and Saturday.

*Latest Local Forecast*


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AMS

AMS
Member-American Meteorological Society